Giyani Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0007

CATPF Stock  USD 0.07  0  2.14%   
Giyani Metals' future price is the expected price of Giyani Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Giyani Metals Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Giyani Metals Backtesting, Giyani Metals Valuation, Giyani Metals Correlation, Giyani Metals Hype Analysis, Giyani Metals Volatility, Giyani Metals History as well as Giyani Metals Performance.
  
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Giyani Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0007

The tendency of Giyani Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0007  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.0007 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Giyani Metals to drop to $ 0.0007  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Giyani Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Giyani Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Giyani Metals Corp price to stay between $ 0.0007  and its current price of $0.0715 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.28 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Giyani Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Giyani Metals Corp has an alpha of 0.5933, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Giyani Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Giyani Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Giyani Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0711.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0611.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0611.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.08
Details

Giyani Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Giyani Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Giyani Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Giyani Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Giyani Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Giyani Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Giyani Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Giyani Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Giyani Metals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Giyani Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Giyani Metals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Giyani Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (5.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Giyani Metals Corp has accumulated about 19.46 M in cash with (3.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Giyani Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Giyani Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Giyani Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Giyani Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding203.2 M

Giyani Metals Technical Analysis

Giyani Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Giyani Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Giyani Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Giyani Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Giyani Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Giyani Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Giyani Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Giyani Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Giyani Metals Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Giyani Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Giyani Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Giyani Metals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Giyani Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Giyani Metals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Giyani Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (5.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Giyani Metals Corp has accumulated about 19.46 M in cash with (3.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Giyani Pink Sheet

Giyani Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Giyani Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Giyani with respect to the benefits of owning Giyani Metals security.