Global X (Germany) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 16.61
| CAUT Etf | 20.19 0.19 0.95% |
Global |
Global X Target Price Odds to finish below 16.61
The tendency of Global Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.61 or more in 90 days |
| 20.19 | 90 days | 16.61 | about 10.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global X to drop to 16.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.74 (This Global X China probability density function shows the probability of Global Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global X China price to stay between 16.61 and its current price of 20.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global X has a beta of 0.0838 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Global X average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global X China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global X China has an alpha of 0.5164, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Global X Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Global X
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global X China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global X Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global X is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global X's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global X China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global X within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Global X Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global X for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global X China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Global X China appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Global X Technical Analysis
Global X's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global X China. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Global X Predictive Forecast Models
Global X's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global X's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global X's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Global X China
Checking the ongoing alerts about Global X for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global X China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Global X China appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |