Cavu Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.09E-4
| CAVR Stock | USD 0.0005 0.0001 16.67% |
CAVU |
CAVU Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 6.09E-4
The tendency of CAVU Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0005 | 90 days | 0.0006 | about 38.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CAVU Resources to move over $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.43 (This CAVU Resources probability density function shows the probability of CAVU Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CAVU Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0005 and $ 0.0006 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.63 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CAVU Resources has a beta of -2.7 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding CAVU Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, CAVU Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally CAVU Resources has an alpha of 0.8877, implying that it can generate a 0.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CAVU Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CAVU Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAVU Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CAVU Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CAVU Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CAVU Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CAVU Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CAVU Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CAVU Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0001 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
CAVU Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CAVU Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CAVU Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CAVU Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CAVU Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CAVU Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CAVU Resources currently holds about 32.48 K in cash with (746.31 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
CAVU Resources Technical Analysis
CAVU Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CAVU Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CAVU Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing CAVU Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CAVU Resources Predictive Forecast Models
CAVU Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many CAVU Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CAVU Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CAVU Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about CAVU Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CAVU Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CAVU Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CAVU Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CAVU Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CAVU Resources currently holds about 32.48 K in cash with (746.31 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for CAVU Pink Sheet Analysis
When running CAVU Resources' price analysis, check to measure CAVU Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAVU Resources is operating at the current time. Most of CAVU Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAVU Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAVU Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAVU Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.