Ceiba Investments (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.54
| CBA Stock | 24.00 0.00 0.00% |
Ceiba |
Ceiba Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 20.54
The tendency of Ceiba Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 20.54 or more in 90 days |
| 24.00 | 90 days | 20.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ceiba Investments to drop to 20.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ceiba Investments probability density function shows the probability of Ceiba Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ceiba Investments price to stay between 20.54 and its current price of 24.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ceiba Investments has a beta of 0.0734 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ceiba Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ceiba Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ceiba Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ceiba Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ceiba Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ceiba Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ceiba Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ceiba Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ceiba Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ceiba Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ceiba Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Ceiba Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ceiba Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ceiba Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ceiba Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ceiba Investments is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ceiba Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ceiba Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ceiba Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ceiba Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 M |
Ceiba Investments Technical Analysis
Ceiba Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ceiba Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ceiba Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ceiba Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ceiba Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Ceiba Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ceiba Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ceiba Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ceiba Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ceiba Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ceiba Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ceiba Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ceiba Investments is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ceiba Stock
Ceiba Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ceiba Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ceiba with respect to the benefits of owning Ceiba Investments security.