Close Brothers Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.31

CBGPY Stock  USD 5.59  0.49  9.61%   
Close Brothers' future price is the expected price of Close Brothers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Close Brothers Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Close Brothers Backtesting, Close Brothers Valuation, Close Brothers Correlation, Close Brothers Hype Analysis, Close Brothers Volatility, Close Brothers History as well as Close Brothers Performance.
  
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Close Brothers Target Price Odds to finish below 1.31

The tendency of Close Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.31  or more in 90 days
 5.59 90 days 1.31 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Close Brothers to drop to $ 1.31  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Close Brothers Group probability density function shows the probability of Close Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Close Brothers Group price to stay between $ 1.31  and its current price of $5.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Close Brothers has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Close Brothers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Close Brothers Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Close Brothers Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Close Brothers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Close Brothers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Close Brothers Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.665.5910.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.445.3710.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.316.2511.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.996.7410.49
Details

Close Brothers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Close Brothers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Close Brothers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Close Brothers Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Close Brothers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Close Brothers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Close Brothers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Close Brothers Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Close Brothers Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Close Brothers Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Close Brothers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Close Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Close Brothers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Close Brothers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

Close Brothers Technical Analysis

Close Brothers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Close Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Close Brothers Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Close Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Close Brothers Predictive Forecast Models

Close Brothers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Close Brothers' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Close Brothers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Close Brothers Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Close Brothers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Close Brothers Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Close Brothers Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Close Brothers Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Tools for Close Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Close Brothers' price analysis, check to measure Close Brothers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Close Brothers is operating at the current time. Most of Close Brothers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Close Brothers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Close Brothers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Close Brothers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.