Colibri Resource Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0003
| CBI Stock | CAD 0.03 0.01 16.67% |
Colibri |
Colibri Resource Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0003
The tendency of Colibri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.0003 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.0003 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colibri Resource to drop to C$ 0.0003 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Colibri Resource Corp probability density function shows the probability of Colibri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colibri Resource Corp price to stay between C$ 0.0003 and its current price of C$0.025 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Colibri Resource Corp has a beta of -0.36 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Colibri Resource are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Colibri Resource Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Colibri Resource Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Colibri Resource Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colibri Resource
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colibri Resource Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colibri Resource Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colibri Resource is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colibri Resource's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colibri Resource Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colibri Resource within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.9 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Colibri Resource Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colibri Resource for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colibri Resource Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colibri Resource generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Colibri Resource has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Colibri Resource has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Colibri Resource has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Colibri Resource has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Colibri Resource Corp has accumulated 1.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 350.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Colibri Resource Corp has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Colibri Resource until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Colibri Resource's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Colibri Resource Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Colibri to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Colibri Resource's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (784.75 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Colibri Resource Corp has accumulated about 30.45 K in cash with (700.85 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of Colibri Resource shares are held by company insiders |
Colibri Resource Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colibri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colibri Resource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colibri Resource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 680.9 K |
Colibri Resource Technical Analysis
Colibri Resource's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colibri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colibri Resource Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colibri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colibri Resource Predictive Forecast Models
Colibri Resource's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colibri Resource's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colibri Resource's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colibri Resource Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colibri Resource for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colibri Resource Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colibri Resource generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Colibri Resource has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Colibri Resource has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Colibri Resource has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Colibri Resource has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Colibri Resource Corp has accumulated 1.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 350.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Colibri Resource Corp has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Colibri Resource until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Colibri Resource's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Colibri Resource Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Colibri to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Colibri Resource's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (784.75 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Colibri Resource Corp has accumulated about 30.45 K in cash with (700.85 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of Colibri Resource shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Colibri Stock Analysis
When running Colibri Resource's price analysis, check to measure Colibri Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colibri Resource is operating at the current time. Most of Colibri Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colibri Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colibri Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colibri Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.