Champion Bear Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0322

CBRSF Stock  USD 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
Champion Bear's future price is the expected price of Champion Bear instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Champion Bear Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Champion Bear Backtesting, Champion Bear Valuation, Champion Bear Correlation, Champion Bear Hype Analysis, Champion Bear Volatility, Champion Bear History as well as Champion Bear Performance.
  
Please specify Champion Bear's target price for which you would like Champion Bear odds to be computed.

Champion Bear Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0322

The tendency of Champion Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.03 
about 55.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Champion Bear to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 55.38 (This Champion Bear Resources probability density function shows the probability of Champion Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Champion Bear Resources price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Champion Bear Resources has a beta of -3.89 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Champion Bear Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Champion Bear is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Champion Bear Resources has an alpha of 2.5226, implying that it can generate a 2.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Champion Bear Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Champion Bear

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Champion Bear Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Champion Bear's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0419.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0319.59
Details

Champion Bear Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Champion Bear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Champion Bear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Champion Bear Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Champion Bear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Champion Bear Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Champion Bear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Champion Bear Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Champion Bear is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Champion Bear has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Champion Bear appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Champion Bear has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Champion Bear until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Champion Bear's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Champion Bear Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Champion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Champion Bear's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (337.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Champion Bear Resources has accumulated about 37.24 K in cash with (305.7 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Champion Bear Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Champion Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Champion Bear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Champion Bear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.6 M

Champion Bear Technical Analysis

Champion Bear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Champion Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Champion Bear Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Champion Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Champion Bear Predictive Forecast Models

Champion Bear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Champion Bear's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Champion Bear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Champion Bear Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Champion Bear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Champion Bear Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Champion Bear is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Champion Bear has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Champion Bear appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Champion Bear has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Champion Bear until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Champion Bear's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Champion Bear Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Champion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Champion Bear's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (337.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Champion Bear Resources has accumulated about 37.24 K in cash with (305.7 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Champion Pink Sheet

Champion Bear financial ratios help investors to determine whether Champion Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Champion with respect to the benefits of owning Champion Bear security.