Cabot Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.94
CBT Stock | USD 105.92 0.62 0.58% |
Closest to current price Cabot long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Cabot |
Cabot Target Price Odds to finish below 59.94
The tendency of Cabot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 59.94 or more in 90 days |
105.92 | 90 days | 59.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cabot to drop to $ 59.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cabot probability density function shows the probability of Cabot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cabot price to stay between $ 59.94 and its current price of $105.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cabot will likely underperform. Additionally Cabot has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cabot Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cabot
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cabot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cabot Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cabot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cabot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cabot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cabot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Cabot Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cabot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cabot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cabot Stock of the Week Issue December 9, 2024 - Cabot Wealth Network |
Cabot Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cabot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cabot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cabot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 223 M |
Cabot Technical Analysis
Cabot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cabot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cabot. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cabot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cabot Predictive Forecast Models
Cabot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cabot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cabot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cabot
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cabot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cabot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cabot Stock of the Week Issue December 9, 2024 - Cabot Wealth Network |
Additional Tools for Cabot Stock Analysis
When running Cabot's price analysis, check to measure Cabot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cabot is operating at the current time. Most of Cabot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cabot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cabot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cabot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.