Cass Information (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.65

CC3 Stock  EUR 41.40  0.20  0.49%   
Cass Information's future price is the expected price of Cass Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cass Information Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cass Information Backtesting, Cass Information Valuation, Cass Information Correlation, Cass Information Hype Analysis, Cass Information Volatility, Cass Information History as well as Cass Information Performance.
  
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Cass Information Target Price Odds to finish below 36.65

The tendency of Cass Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 36.65  or more in 90 days
 41.40 90 days 36.65 
about 15.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cass Information to drop to € 36.65  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.95 (This Cass Information Systems probability density function shows the probability of Cass Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cass Information Systems price to stay between € 36.65  and its current price of €41.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cass Information has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cass Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cass Information Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cass Information Systems has an alpha of 0.1691, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cass Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cass Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cass Information Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.6241.4043.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6340.4142.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4741.2443.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.8341.9143.00
Details

Cass Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cass Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cass Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cass Information Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cass Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Cass Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cass Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cass Information Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cass Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cass Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cass Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cass Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.7 M

Cass Information Technical Analysis

Cass Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cass Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cass Information Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cass Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cass Information Predictive Forecast Models

Cass Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cass Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cass Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cass Information Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cass Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cass Information Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cass Stock

When determining whether Cass Information Systems is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cass Information's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cass Information's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cass Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cass Information's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cass Information is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cass Information's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.