Coca Cola European Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 78.21
| CCEP Stock | USD 77.63 0.31 0.40% |
Coca |
Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish below 78.21
The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 78.21 after 90 days |
| 77.63 | 90 days | 78.21 | about 71.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to stay under $ 78.21 after 90 days from now is about 71.65 (This Coca Cola European Partners probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola European price to stay between its current price of $ 77.63 and $ 78.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Coca Cola has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coca Cola European Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coca Cola European Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Coca Cola Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola European. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coca Cola's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coca Cola Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca Cola European Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca Cola European can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coca Cola European generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Coca Cola European Partners currently holds 11.4 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coca Cola European has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Coca Cola's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Coca Cola European has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 55.0% of Coca Cola shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from cbsnews.com: Labelers training AI say theyre overworked, underpaid and exploited by big American tech companies |
Coca Cola Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 459 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Coca Cola Technical Analysis
Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca Cola European Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models
Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coca Cola European
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca Cola European help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coca Cola European generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Coca Cola European Partners currently holds 11.4 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coca Cola European has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Coca Cola's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Coca Cola European has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 55.0% of Coca Cola shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from cbsnews.com: Labelers training AI say theyre overworked, underpaid and exploited by big American tech companies |
Additional Tools for Coca Stock Analysis
When running Coca Cola's price analysis, check to measure Coca Cola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coca Cola is operating at the current time. Most of Coca Cola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coca Cola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coca Cola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coca Cola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.