Country Club (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.05
| CCHHL Stock | 20.91 0.33 1.60% |
Country |
Country Club Target Price Odds to finish below 17.05
The tendency of Country Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.05 or more in 90 days |
| 20.91 | 90 days | 17.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Country Club to drop to 17.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Country Club Hospitality probability density function shows the probability of Country Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Country Club Hospitality price to stay between 17.05 and its current price of 20.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Country Club has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Country Club average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Country Club Hospitality will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Country Club Hospitality has an alpha of 0.0287, implying that it can generate a 0.0287 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Country Club Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Country Club
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Country Club Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Country Club Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Country Club is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Country Club's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Country Club Hospitality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Country Club within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Country Club Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Country Club for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Country Club Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Country Club generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Country Club has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 523.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B. | |
| Country Club Hospitality has accumulated about 29.66 M in cash with (51.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Country Club plans global foray through franchise route - The Hindu |
Country Club Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Country Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Country Club's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Country Club's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 162 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.8 M |
Country Club Technical Analysis
Country Club's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Country Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Country Club Hospitality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Country Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Country Club Predictive Forecast Models
Country Club's time-series forecasting models is one of many Country Club's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Country Club's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Country Club Hospitality
Checking the ongoing alerts about Country Club for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Country Club Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Country Club generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Country Club has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 523.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B. | |
| Country Club Hospitality has accumulated about 29.66 M in cash with (51.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Country Club plans global foray through franchise route - The Hindu |
Other Information on Investing in Country Stock
Country Club financial ratios help investors to determine whether Country Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Country with respect to the benefits of owning Country Club security.