Cameco Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.77

CCO Stock  CAD 82.26  1.15  1.42%   
Cameco Corp's future price is the expected price of Cameco Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cameco Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cameco Corp Backtesting, Cameco Corp Valuation, Cameco Corp Correlation, Cameco Corp Hype Analysis, Cameco Corp Volatility, Cameco Corp History as well as Cameco Corp Performance.
To learn how to invest in Cameco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cameco Corp guide.
  
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Cameco Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 80.77

The tendency of Cameco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 80.77  or more in 90 days
 82.26 90 days 80.77 
about 88.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cameco Corp to drop to C$ 80.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.3 (This Cameco Corp probability density function shows the probability of Cameco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cameco Corp price to stay between C$ 80.77  and its current price of C$82.26 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cameco Corp has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cameco Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cameco Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cameco Corp has an alpha of 0.5886, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cameco Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cameco Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cameco Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.6382.2684.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.0388.3791.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.3886.0188.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.2576.7085.15
Details

Cameco Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cameco Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cameco Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cameco Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cameco Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
10.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Cameco Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cameco Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cameco Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cameco Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cameco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cameco Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cameco Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding435.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments566.8 M

Cameco Corp Technical Analysis

Cameco Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cameco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cameco Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cameco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cameco Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Cameco Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cameco Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cameco Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cameco Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cameco Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cameco Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
When determining whether Cameco Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cameco Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cameco Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cameco Corp Stock:
Check out Cameco Corp Backtesting, Cameco Corp Valuation, Cameco Corp Correlation, Cameco Corp Hype Analysis, Cameco Corp Volatility, Cameco Corp History as well as Cameco Corp Performance.
To learn how to invest in Cameco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cameco Corp guide.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cameco Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cameco Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cameco Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.