Capcom Co Ltd Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 8.38
| CCOEY Stock | USD 11.69 0.37 3.27% |
Capcom |
Capcom Co Target Price Odds to finish below 8.38
The tendency of Capcom Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.38 or more in 90 days |
| 11.69 | 90 days | 8.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capcom Co to drop to $ 8.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capcom Co Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Capcom Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capcom Co price to stay between $ 8.38 and its current price of $11.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capcom Co has a beta of 0.55 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capcom Co average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capcom Co Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capcom Co Ltd has an alpha of 0.0462, implying that it can generate a 0.0462 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capcom Co Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Capcom Co
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capcom Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capcom Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Capcom Co Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capcom Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capcom Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capcom Co Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capcom Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0025 |
Capcom Co Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capcom Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capcom Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capcom Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 427 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.3 B |
Capcom Co Technical Analysis
Capcom Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capcom Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capcom Co Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capcom Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capcom Co Predictive Forecast Models
Capcom Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capcom Co's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capcom Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capcom Co in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capcom Co's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capcom Co options trading.
Additional Tools for Capcom Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Capcom Co's price analysis, check to measure Capcom Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capcom Co is operating at the current time. Most of Capcom Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capcom Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capcom Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capcom Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.