China Coal Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 19.62
| CCOZY Stock | USD 23.60 0.30 1.29% |
China |
China Coal Target Price Odds to finish below 19.62
The tendency of China Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.62 or more in 90 days |
| 23.60 | 90 days | 19.62 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Coal to drop to $ 19.62 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This China Coal Energy probability density function shows the probability of China Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Coal Energy price to stay between $ 19.62 and its current price of $23.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Coal Energy has a beta of -0.78 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Coal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Coal Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Coal Energy has an alpha of 0.4541, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Coal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Coal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Coal Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Coal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Coal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Coal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Coal Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Coal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
China Coal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Coal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Coal Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Coal Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
China Coal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Coal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Coal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 B |
China Coal Technical Analysis
China Coal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Coal Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Coal Predictive Forecast Models
China Coal's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Coal's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Coal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Coal Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Coal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Coal Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Coal Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis
When running China Coal's price analysis, check to measure China Coal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Coal is operating at the current time. Most of China Coal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Coal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Coal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Coal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.