Corecard Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.86

CCRD Stock  USD 20.67  0.96  4.87%   
CoreCard Corp's future price is the expected price of CoreCard Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CoreCard Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CoreCard Corp Backtesting, CoreCard Corp Valuation, CoreCard Corp Correlation, CoreCard Corp Hype Analysis, CoreCard Corp Volatility, CoreCard Corp History as well as CoreCard Corp Performance.
For information on how to trade CoreCard Stock refer to our How to Trade CoreCard Stock guide.
  
At present, CoreCard Corp's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 7.31, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (0.43). Please specify CoreCard Corp's target price for which you would like CoreCard Corp odds to be computed.

CoreCard Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 15.86

The tendency of CoreCard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.86  or more in 90 days
 20.67 90 days 15.86 
about 67.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CoreCard Corp to drop to $ 15.86  or more in 90 days from now is about 67.86 (This CoreCard Corp probability density function shows the probability of CoreCard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CoreCard Corp price to stay between $ 15.86  and its current price of $20.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.84 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CoreCard Corp has a beta of 0.8 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CoreCard Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CoreCard Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CoreCard Corp has an alpha of 0.5595, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CoreCard Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CoreCard Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoreCard Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1020.8223.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6024.4727.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8819.5922.31
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5727.0029.97
Details

CoreCard Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CoreCard Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CoreCard Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CoreCard Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CoreCard Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

CoreCard Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CoreCard Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CoreCard Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CoreCard Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
CoreCard Corp has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 145 shares by Philip Moise of CoreCard Corp subject to Rule 16b-3

CoreCard Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CoreCard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CoreCard Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CoreCard Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.1 M

CoreCard Corp Technical Analysis

CoreCard Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CoreCard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CoreCard Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing CoreCard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CoreCard Corp Predictive Forecast Models

CoreCard Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many CoreCard Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CoreCard Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CoreCard Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about CoreCard Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CoreCard Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CoreCard Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
CoreCard Corp has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 145 shares by Philip Moise of CoreCard Corp subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether CoreCard Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze CoreCard Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CoreCard Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CoreCard Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CoreCard Corp Backtesting, CoreCard Corp Valuation, CoreCard Corp Correlation, CoreCard Corp Hype Analysis, CoreCard Corp Volatility, CoreCard Corp History as well as CoreCard Corp Performance.
For information on how to trade CoreCard Stock refer to our How to Trade CoreCard Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CoreCard Corp. If investors know CoreCard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CoreCard Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Earnings Share
0.49
Revenue Per Share
6.705
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.172
Return On Assets
0.0469
The market value of CoreCard Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CoreCard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CoreCard Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CoreCard Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CoreCard Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CoreCard Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CoreCard Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CoreCard Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CoreCard Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.