Century Communities Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 88.62
| CCS Stock | USD 90.80 0.05 0.06% |
Century |
Century Communities Target Price Odds to finish over 88.62
The tendency of Century Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 88.62 in 90 days |
| 90.80 | 90 days | 88.62 | about 87.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Century Communities to stay above $ 88.62 in 90 days from now is about 87.18 (This Century Communities probability density function shows the probability of Century Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Century Communities price to stay between $ 88.62 and its current price of $90.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.2 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Century Communities has a beta of 0.8 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Century Communities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Century Communities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Century Communities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Century Communities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Century Communities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Century Communities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Century Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Century Communities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Century Communities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Century Communities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Century Communities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Century Communities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Century Communities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Century Communities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Century Communities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Century Communities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Century Communities Inc Shares Gap Down to 91.52 on Nov 26 |
Century Communities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Century Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Century Communities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Century Communities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 226.2 M |
Century Communities Technical Analysis
Century Communities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Century Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Century Communities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Century Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Century Communities Predictive Forecast Models
Century Communities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Century Communities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Century Communities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Century Communities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Century Communities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Century Communities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Century Communities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Century Communities Inc Shares Gap Down to 91.52 on Nov 26 |
Additional Tools for Century Stock Analysis
When running Century Communities' price analysis, check to measure Century Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Communities is operating at the current time. Most of Century Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.