Capital World Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 0.00

CCWFX Fund  USD 16.08  0.08  0.50%   
Capital World's future price is the expected price of Capital World instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital World Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital World Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital World Correlation, Capital World Hype Analysis, Capital World Volatility, Capital World History as well as Capital World Performance.
  
Please specify Capital World's target price for which you would like Capital World odds to be computed.

Capital World Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 16.08 90 days 0.00 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital World to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Capital World Bond probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital World Bond price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $16.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital World Bond has a beta of -0.079 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capital World are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capital World Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capital World Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Capital World Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital World

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital World Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6616.0016.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0815.4217.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital World. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital World's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital World's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital World Bond.

Capital World Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital World Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Capital World Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital World Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital World Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital World Bond generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds about 7.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Capital World Technical Analysis

Capital World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital World Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital World Predictive Forecast Models

Capital World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital World's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital World Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital World Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital World Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital World Bond generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds about 7.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund

Capital World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital World security.
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