Compagnie Des (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.39

CDA Stock  EUR 14.80  0.20  1.33%   
Compagnie Des' future price is the expected price of Compagnie Des instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie des Alpes performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Des Backtesting, Compagnie Des Valuation, Compagnie Des Correlation, Compagnie Des Hype Analysis, Compagnie Des Volatility, Compagnie Des History as well as Compagnie Des Performance.
  
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Compagnie Des Target Price Odds to finish over 16.39

The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 16.39  or more in 90 days
 14.80 90 days 16.39 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Des to move over € 16.39  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Compagnie des Alpes probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie des Alpes price to stay between its current price of € 14.80  and € 16.39  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compagnie des Alpes has a beta of -0.087 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Compagnie Des are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Compagnie des Alpes is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Compagnie des Alpes has an alpha of 0.1252, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compagnie Des Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Des

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie des Alpes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6914.8015.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5512.6616.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2115.3216.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3214.9515.58
Details

Compagnie Des Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Des is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Des' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie des Alpes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Des within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.0008

Compagnie Des Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Des for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie des Alpes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie des Alpes has accumulated 491.78 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 50.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Compagnie des Alpes has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Compagnie Des until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Compagnie Des' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Compagnie des Alpes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Compagnie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Compagnie Des' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 21.0% of Compagnie Des shares are held by company insiders

Compagnie Des Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie Des' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie Des' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.4 M

Compagnie Des Technical Analysis

Compagnie Des' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie des Alpes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Des Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie Des' time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Des' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Des' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie des Alpes

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Des for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie des Alpes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie des Alpes has accumulated 491.78 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 50.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Compagnie des Alpes has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Compagnie Des until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Compagnie Des' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Compagnie des Alpes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Compagnie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Compagnie Des' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 21.0% of Compagnie Des shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Compagnie Stock

Compagnie Des financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compagnie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compagnie with respect to the benefits of owning Compagnie Des security.