City Developments Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.25
| CDEVY Stock | USD 3.90 0.10 2.50% |
City |
City Developments Target Price Odds to finish over 4.25
The tendency of City Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.25 or more in 90 days |
| 3.90 | 90 days | 4.25 | about 5.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of City Developments to move over $ 4.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.8 (This City Developments probability density function shows the probability of City Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of City Developments price to stay between its current price of $ 3.90 and $ 4.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon City Developments has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, City Developments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding City Developments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally City Developments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. City Developments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for City Developments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as City Developments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of City Developments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
City Developments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. City Developments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the City Developments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold City Developments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of City Developments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
City Developments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of City Developments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for City Developments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| City Developments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
City Developments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of City Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential City Developments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Developments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 906.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
City Developments Technical Analysis
City Developments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. City Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of City Developments. In general, you should focus on analyzing City Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
City Developments Predictive Forecast Models
City Developments' time-series forecasting models is one of many City Developments' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary City Developments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about City Developments
Checking the ongoing alerts about City Developments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for City Developments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| City Developments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for City Pink Sheet Analysis
When running City Developments' price analysis, check to measure City Developments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy City Developments is operating at the current time. Most of City Developments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of City Developments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move City Developments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of City Developments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.