Cedar Realty Trust Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 15.82

CDR-PB Preferred Stock  USD 15.81  0.22  1.41%   
Cedar Realty's future price is the expected price of Cedar Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cedar Realty Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cedar Realty Backtesting, Cedar Realty Valuation, Cedar Realty Correlation, Cedar Realty Hype Analysis, Cedar Realty Volatility, Cedar Realty History as well as Cedar Realty Performance.
  
Please specify Cedar Realty's target price for which you would like Cedar Realty odds to be computed.

Cedar Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 15.82

The tendency of Cedar Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 15.82  after 90 days
 15.81 90 days 15.82 
about 80.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cedar Realty to stay under $ 15.82  after 90 days from now is about 80.8 (This Cedar Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Cedar Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cedar Realty Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 15.81  and $ 15.82  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cedar Realty Trust has a beta of -0.11 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cedar Realty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cedar Realty Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cedar Realty Trust has an alpha of 0.2222, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cedar Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cedar Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cedar Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8515.5918.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0312.7717.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4315.1617.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.8415.6916.55
Details

Cedar Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cedar Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cedar Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cedar Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cedar Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Cedar Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cedar Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cedar Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cedar Realty Trust has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 127.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 81.1 M.

Cedar Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cedar Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cedar Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cedar Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.3 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Cedar Realty Technical Analysis

Cedar Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cedar Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cedar Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cedar Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cedar Realty Predictive Forecast Models

Cedar Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cedar Realty's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cedar Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cedar Realty Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cedar Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cedar Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cedar Realty Trust has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 127.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 81.1 M.

Other Information on Investing in Cedar Preferred Stock

Cedar Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cedar Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cedar with respect to the benefits of owning Cedar Realty security.