MHP Hotel (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.18
| CDZ0 Stock | 1.16 0.04 3.33% |
MHP |
MHP Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 1.18
The tendency of MHP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.18 after 90 days |
| 1.16 | 90 days | 1.18 | about 83.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MHP Hotel to stay under 1.18 after 90 days from now is about 83.04 (This MHP Hotel AG probability density function shows the probability of MHP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MHP Hotel AG price to stay between its current price of 1.16 and 1.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MHP Hotel has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, MHP Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MHP Hotel AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MHP Hotel AG has an alpha of 0.0956, implying that it can generate a 0.0956 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MHP Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MHP Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MHP Hotel AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MHP Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MHP Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MHP Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MHP Hotel AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MHP Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0029 |
MHP Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MHP Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MHP Hotel AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MHP Hotel AG may become a speculative penny stock | |
| MHP Hotel AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
MHP Hotel Technical Analysis
MHP Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MHP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MHP Hotel AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing MHP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MHP Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
MHP Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many MHP Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MHP Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MHP Hotel AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about MHP Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MHP Hotel AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MHP Hotel AG may become a speculative penny stock | |
| MHP Hotel AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MHP Stock
MHP Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether MHP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MHP with respect to the benefits of owning MHP Hotel security.