Cea Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.39
| CEAD Stock | USD 6.00 0.30 5.26% |
CEA |
CEA Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 3.39
The tendency of CEA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.39 or more in 90 days |
| 6.00 | 90 days | 3.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CEA Industries to drop to $ 3.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CEA Industries probability density function shows the probability of CEA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CEA Industries price to stay between $ 3.39 and its current price of $6.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CEA Industries has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CEA Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CEA Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CEA Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CEA Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CEA Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEA Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CEA Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CEA Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CEA Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CEA Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CEA Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
CEA Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CEA Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CEA Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CEA Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.93 M. | |
| CEA Industries currently holds about 20.61 M in cash with (6.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.59. | |
| CEA Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CEA Industries Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
CEA Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CEA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CEA Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEA Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 672.9 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.5 M | |
| Shares Float | 641.3 K |
CEA Industries Technical Analysis
CEA Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CEA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CEA Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing CEA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CEA Industries Predictive Forecast Models
CEA Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many CEA Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CEA Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CEA Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about CEA Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CEA Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CEA Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.93 M. | |
| CEA Industries currently holds about 20.61 M in cash with (6.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.59. | |
| CEA Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CEA Industries Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Check out CEA Industries Backtesting, CEA Industries Valuation, CEA Industries Correlation, CEA Industries Hype Analysis, CEA Industries Volatility, CEA Industries History as well as CEA Industries Performance. For information on how to trade CEA Stock refer to our How to Trade CEA Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CEA Industries. If investors know CEA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CEA Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.38) | Revenue Per Share 4.61 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.655 | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (0.25) |
The market value of CEA Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CEA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CEA Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CEA Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CEA Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CEA Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CEA Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CEA Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CEA Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.