Cebu Air Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.94
| CEBUY Stock | USD 1.85 0.00 0.00% |
Cebu |
Cebu Air Target Price Odds to finish over 1.94
The tendency of Cebu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.94 or more in 90 days |
| 1.85 | 90 days | 1.94 | about 85.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cebu Air to move over $ 1.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.92 (This Cebu Air ADR probability density function shows the probability of Cebu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cebu Air ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 1.85 and $ 1.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cebu Air ADR has a beta of -1.26 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cebu Air ADR are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cebu Air is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Cebu Air ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cebu Air Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cebu Air
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cebu Air ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cebu Air's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cebu Air Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cebu Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cebu Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cebu Air ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cebu Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Cebu Air Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cebu Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cebu Air ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cebu Air ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cebu Air ADR may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Cebu Air ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cebu Air ADR has accumulated 54.28 B in total debt. Cebu Air ADR has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cebu Air until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cebu Air's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cebu Air ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cebu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cebu Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (24.9 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.68 B). | |
| Cebu Air ADR has accumulated about 17.62 B in cash with (6.26 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 143.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Cebu Air Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cebu Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cebu Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cebu Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.1 M |
Cebu Air Technical Analysis
Cebu Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cebu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cebu Air ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cebu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cebu Air Predictive Forecast Models
Cebu Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cebu Air's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cebu Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cebu Air ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cebu Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cebu Air ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cebu Air ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cebu Air ADR may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Cebu Air ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cebu Air ADR has accumulated 54.28 B in total debt. Cebu Air ADR has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cebu Air until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cebu Air's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cebu Air ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cebu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cebu Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (24.9 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.68 B). | |
| Cebu Air ADR has accumulated about 17.62 B in cash with (6.26 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 143.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Cebu Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Cebu Air's price analysis, check to measure Cebu Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cebu Air is operating at the current time. Most of Cebu Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cebu Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cebu Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cebu Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.