Cellcom Israel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2277.6

CEL Stock  ILA 1,953  53.00  2.79%   
Cellcom Israel's future price is the expected price of Cellcom Israel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cellcom Israel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cellcom Israel Backtesting, Cellcom Israel Valuation, Cellcom Israel Correlation, Cellcom Israel Hype Analysis, Cellcom Israel Volatility, Cellcom Israel History as well as Cellcom Israel Performance.
  
Please specify Cellcom Israel's target price for which you would like Cellcom Israel odds to be computed.

Cellcom Israel Target Price Odds to finish over 2277.6

The tendency of Cellcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2,278  or more in 90 days
 1,953 90 days 2,278 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cellcom Israel to move over  2,278  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cellcom Israel probability density function shows the probability of Cellcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cellcom Israel price to stay between its current price of  1,953  and  2,278  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cellcom Israel has a beta of -0.0983 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cellcom Israel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cellcom Israel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cellcom Israel has an alpha of 0.4326, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cellcom Israel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cellcom Israel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellcom Israel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,9511,9531,955
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5211,5232,148
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9591,9611,964
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,5221,7361,949
Details

Cellcom Israel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cellcom Israel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cellcom Israel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cellcom Israel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cellcom Israel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
137.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Cellcom Israel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cellcom Israel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cellcom Israel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cellcom Israel Technical Analysis

Cellcom Israel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cellcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cellcom Israel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cellcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cellcom Israel Predictive Forecast Models

Cellcom Israel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cellcom Israel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cellcom Israel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cellcom Israel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cellcom Israel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cellcom Israel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Cellcom Stock

Cellcom Israel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cellcom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cellcom with respect to the benefits of owning Cellcom Israel security.