Cliffwater Enhanced Lending Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.18
| CELFX Fund | USD 10.87 0.00 0.00% |
Cliffwater |
Cliffwater Enhanced Target Price Odds to finish below 10.18
The tendency of Cliffwater Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.18 or more in 90 days |
| 10.87 | 90 days | 10.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cliffwater Enhanced to drop to $ 10.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cliffwater Enhanced Lending probability density function shows the probability of Cliffwater Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cliffwater Enhanced price to stay between $ 10.18 and its current price of $10.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cliffwater Enhanced Lending has a beta of -0.055 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cliffwater Enhanced are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cliffwater Enhanced Lending is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cliffwater Enhanced Lending has an alpha of 0.0289, implying that it can generate a 0.0289 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cliffwater Enhanced Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cliffwater Enhanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cliffwater Enhanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cliffwater Enhanced Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cliffwater Enhanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cliffwater Enhanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cliffwater Enhanced Lending, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cliffwater Enhanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Cliffwater Enhanced Technical Analysis
Cliffwater Enhanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cliffwater Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cliffwater Enhanced Lending. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cliffwater Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cliffwater Enhanced Predictive Forecast Models
Cliffwater Enhanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cliffwater Enhanced's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cliffwater Enhanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cliffwater Enhanced in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cliffwater Enhanced's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cliffwater Enhanced options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Cliffwater Mutual Fund
Cliffwater Enhanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cliffwater Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cliffwater with respect to the benefits of owning Cliffwater Enhanced security.
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