Celsius Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.96
| CELH Stock | USD 29.30 0.25 0.86% |
Celsius |
Celsius Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 17.96
The tendency of Celsius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.96 or more in 90 days |
| 29.30 | 90 days | 17.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Celsius Holdings to drop to $ 17.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Celsius Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Celsius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Celsius Holdings price to stay between $ 17.96 and its current price of $29.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Celsius Holdings has a beta of 0.73 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Celsius Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Celsius Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Celsius Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Celsius Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Celsius Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celsius Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Celsius Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Celsius Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Celsius Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Celsius Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Celsius Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Celsius Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Celsius Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Celsius Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Celsius Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Celsius Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Celsius Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Do Redditors Think That Celsius Holdings Inc. Has a Big Upside Potential |
Celsius Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Celsius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Celsius Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celsius Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 237 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 756 M |
Celsius Holdings Technical Analysis
Celsius Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Celsius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Celsius Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Celsius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Celsius Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Celsius Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Celsius Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Celsius Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Celsius Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Celsius Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Celsius Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Celsius Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Celsius Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Celsius Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Do Redditors Think That Celsius Holdings Inc. Has a Big Upside Potential |
Check out Celsius Holdings Backtesting, Celsius Holdings Valuation, Celsius Holdings Correlation, Celsius Holdings Hype Analysis, Celsius Holdings Volatility, Celsius Holdings History as well as Celsius Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Celsius Stock please use our How to Invest in Celsius Holdings guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Celsius Holdings. If investors know Celsius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Celsius Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.629 | Earnings Share 0.72 | Revenue Per Share 5.888 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets 0.0897 |
The market value of Celsius Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Celsius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Celsius Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Celsius Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Celsius Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Celsius Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Celsius Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Celsius Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Celsius Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.