Celulosa Argentina (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 999.67
| CELU Stock | ARS 972.00 25.00 2.51% |
Celulosa |
Celulosa Argentina Target Price Odds to finish over 999.67
The tendency of Celulosa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 999.67 or more in 90 days |
| 972.00 | 90 days | 999.67 | about 60.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Celulosa Argentina to move over 999.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.71 (This Celulosa Argentina SA probability density function shows the probability of Celulosa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Celulosa Argentina price to stay between its current price of 972.00 and 999.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Celulosa Argentina SA has a beta of -0.0452 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Celulosa Argentina are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Celulosa Argentina SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Celulosa Argentina SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Celulosa Argentina Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Celulosa Argentina
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celulosa Argentina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Celulosa Argentina Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Celulosa Argentina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Celulosa Argentina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Celulosa Argentina SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Celulosa Argentina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 126.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Celulosa Argentina Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Celulosa Argentina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Celulosa Argentina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Celulosa Argentina generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Celulosa Argentina has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Celulosa Argentina SA has accumulated 7.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 185.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Celulosa Argentina has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Celulosa Argentina until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Celulosa Argentina's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Celulosa Argentina sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Celulosa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Celulosa Argentina's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 35.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (705.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.58 B. |
Celulosa Argentina Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Celulosa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Celulosa Argentina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celulosa Argentina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 B |
Celulosa Argentina Technical Analysis
Celulosa Argentina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Celulosa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Celulosa Argentina SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Celulosa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Celulosa Argentina Predictive Forecast Models
Celulosa Argentina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Celulosa Argentina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Celulosa Argentina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Celulosa Argentina
Checking the ongoing alerts about Celulosa Argentina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Celulosa Argentina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Celulosa Argentina generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Celulosa Argentina has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Celulosa Argentina SA has accumulated 7.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 185.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Celulosa Argentina has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Celulosa Argentina until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Celulosa Argentina's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Celulosa Argentina sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Celulosa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Celulosa Argentina's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 35.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (705.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.58 B. |
Other Information on Investing in Celulosa Stock
Celulosa Argentina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Celulosa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Celulosa with respect to the benefits of owning Celulosa Argentina security.