Cencosud (Chile) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,521
| CENCOSUD | CLP 2,100 15.00 0.71% |
Cencosud |
Cencosud Target Price Odds to finish over 1,521
The tendency of Cencosud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,100 | 90 days | 2,100 | nearly 4.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cencosud to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.42 (This Cencosud probability density function shows the probability of Cencosud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cencosud has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cencosud are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cencosud is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cencosud has an alpha of 0.2166, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cencosud Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cencosud
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cencosud. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cencosud Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cencosud is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cencosud's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cencosud, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cencosud within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 99.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Cencosud Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cencosud for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cencosud can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cencosud has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cencosud has accumulated 2.63 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 108.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cencosud has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cencosud until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cencosud's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cencosud sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cencosud to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cencosud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Cencosud Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cencosud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cencosud's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cencosud's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B |
Cencosud Technical Analysis
Cencosud's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cencosud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cencosud. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cencosud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cencosud Predictive Forecast Models
Cencosud's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cencosud's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cencosud's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cencosud
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cencosud for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cencosud help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cencosud has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cencosud has accumulated 2.63 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 108.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cencosud has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cencosud until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cencosud's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cencosud sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cencosud to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cencosud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Cencosud Stock Analysis
When running Cencosud's price analysis, check to measure Cencosud's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cencosud is operating at the current time. Most of Cencosud's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cencosud's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cencosud's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cencosud to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.