Europacific Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 60.90

CEUFX Fund  USD 57.63  0.26  0.45%   
Europacific Growth's future price is the expected price of Europacific Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Europacific Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Europacific Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Europacific Growth Correlation, Europacific Growth Hype Analysis, Europacific Growth Volatility, Europacific Growth History as well as Europacific Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Europacific Growth's target price for which you would like Europacific Growth odds to be computed.

Europacific Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 60.90

The tendency of Europacific Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 60.90  or more in 90 days
 57.63 90 days 60.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Europacific Growth to move over $ 60.90  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Europacific Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Europacific Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Europacific Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 57.63  and $ 60.90  at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Europacific Growth has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Europacific Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Europacific Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Europacific Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.0018, implying that it can generate a 0.001793 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Europacific Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Europacific Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Europacific Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.1657.8958.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1457.8758.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.9558.6859.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.6957.3458.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Europacific Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Europacific Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Europacific Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Europacific Growth.

Europacific Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Europacific Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Europacific Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Europacific Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Europacific Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Europacific Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Europacific Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Europacific Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Europacific Growth holds about 11.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Europacific Growth Technical Analysis

Europacific Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Europacific Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Europacific Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Europacific Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Europacific Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Europacific Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Europacific Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Europacific Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Europacific Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Europacific Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Europacific Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Europacific Growth holds about 11.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Europacific Mutual Fund

Europacific Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Europacific Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Europacific with respect to the benefits of owning Europacific Growth security.
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