Weg ADM (Chile) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 1408.13
| CFIWEG-1 | 1,300 100.00 7.14% |
Weg |
Weg ADM Target Price Odds to finish over 1408.13
The tendency of Weg Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1,408 or more in 90 days |
| 1,300 | 90 days | 1,408 | about 81.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weg ADM to move over 1,408 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.09 (This Weg ADM General probability density function shows the probability of Weg Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Weg ADM General price to stay between its current price of 1,300 and 1,408 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Weg ADM has a beta of 0.0891 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Weg ADM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Weg ADM General will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Weg ADM General has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Weg ADM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Weg ADM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weg ADM General. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weg ADM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Weg ADM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weg ADM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weg ADM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weg ADM General, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weg ADM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
Weg ADM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weg ADM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weg ADM General can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Weg ADM General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Weg ADM Technical Analysis
Weg ADM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weg Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weg ADM General. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weg Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Weg ADM Predictive Forecast Models
Weg ADM's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weg ADM's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weg ADM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Weg ADM General
Checking the ongoing alerts about Weg ADM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weg ADM General help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Weg ADM General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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