Calvert Floating Rate Advantage Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.66

CFOIX Fund  USD 8.98  0.01  0.11%   
Calvert Floating-rate's future price is the expected price of Calvert Floating-rate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calvert Floating Rate Advantage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calvert Floating-rate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calvert Floating-rate Correlation, Calvert Floating-rate Hype Analysis, Calvert Floating-rate Volatility, Calvert Floating-rate History as well as Calvert Floating-rate Performance.
  
Please specify Calvert Floating-rate's target price for which you would like Calvert Floating-rate odds to be computed.

Calvert Floating-rate Target Price Odds to finish below 7.66

The tendency of Calvert Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.66  or more in 90 days
 8.98 90 days 7.66 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calvert Floating-rate to drop to $ 7.66  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calvert Floating Rate Advantage probability density function shows the probability of Calvert Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calvert Floating Rate price to stay between $ 7.66  and its current price of $8.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calvert Floating Rate Advantage has a beta of -0.0054 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Calvert Floating-rate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Calvert Floating Rate Advantage is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Calvert Floating Rate Advantage has an alpha of 0.0301, implying that it can generate a 0.0301 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calvert Floating-rate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calvert Floating-rate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calvert Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.828.989.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.088.249.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.808.979.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.988.988.98
Details

Calvert Floating-rate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calvert Floating-rate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calvert Floating-rate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calvert Floating Rate Advantage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calvert Floating-rate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0054
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.56

Calvert Floating-rate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calvert Floating-rate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calvert Floating Rate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Letter to the Editor St. Croix County Board, thank you - Hudson Star Observer
The fund holds about 6.39% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Calvert Floating-rate Technical Analysis

Calvert Floating-rate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calvert Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calvert Floating Rate Advantage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calvert Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calvert Floating-rate Predictive Forecast Models

Calvert Floating-rate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calvert Floating-rate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calvert Floating-rate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calvert Floating Rate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calvert Floating-rate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calvert Floating Rate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Letter to the Editor St. Croix County Board, thank you - Hudson Star Observer
The fund holds about 6.39% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Calvert Mutual Fund

Calvert Floating-rate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calvert Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calvert with respect to the benefits of owning Calvert Floating-rate security.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies