Compagnie Financire Richemont Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 177.14

CFRHF Stock  USD 195.25  0.25  0.13%   
Compagnie Financière's future price is the expected price of Compagnie Financière instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie Financire Richemont performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Financière Backtesting, Compagnie Financière Valuation, Compagnie Financière Correlation, Compagnie Financière Hype Analysis, Compagnie Financière Volatility, Compagnie Financière History as well as Compagnie Financière Performance.
  
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Compagnie Financière Target Price Odds to finish below 177.14

The tendency of Compagnie Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 177.14  or more in 90 days
 195.25 90 days 177.14 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Financière to drop to $ 177.14  or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Compagnie Financire Richemont probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie Financière price to stay between $ 177.14  and its current price of $195.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Compagnie Financire Richemont has a beta of -0.77 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Compagnie Financière are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Compagnie Financire Richemont is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Compagnie Financire Richemont has an alpha of 0.5441, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compagnie Financière Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Financière

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Financière. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
191.90195.25198.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
147.14150.49214.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
200.23203.58206.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
132.00165.58199.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Compagnie Financière. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Compagnie Financière's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Compagnie Financière's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Compagnie Financière.

Compagnie Financière Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Financière is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Financière's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie Financire Richemont, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Financière within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.77
σ
Overall volatility
16.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Compagnie Financière Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Financière for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie Financière can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Financière appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Compagnie Financière Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie Financière's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie Financière's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding567.4 M

Compagnie Financière Technical Analysis

Compagnie Financière's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie Financire Richemont. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Financière Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie Financière's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Financière's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Financière's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie Financière

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Financière for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie Financière help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Financière appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Compagnie Pink Sheet

Compagnie Financière financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compagnie Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compagnie with respect to the benefits of owning Compagnie Financière security.