Catholic Values Fixed Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.30
| CFVYX Fund | USD 8.58 0.01 0.12% |
Catholic |
Catholic Values Target Price Odds to finish below 8.30
The tendency of Catholic Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.30 or more in 90 days |
| 8.58 | 90 days | 8.30 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catholic Values to drop to $ 8.30 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Catholic Values Fixed probability density function shows the probability of Catholic Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catholic Values Fixed price to stay between $ 8.30 and its current price of $8.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catholic Values Fixed has a beta of -0.0707 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Catholic Values are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Catholic Values Fixed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Catholic Values Fixed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Catholic Values Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Catholic Values
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catholic Values Fixed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catholic Values' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Catholic Values Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catholic Values is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catholic Values' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catholic Values Fixed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catholic Values within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.56 |
Catholic Values Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catholic Values for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catholic Values Fixed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Catholic Values generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Catholic Values Fixed generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund holds about 94.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Catholic Values Technical Analysis
Catholic Values' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catholic Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catholic Values Fixed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catholic Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catholic Values Predictive Forecast Models
Catholic Values' time-series forecasting models is one of many Catholic Values' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catholic Values' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Catholic Values Fixed
Checking the ongoing alerts about Catholic Values for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catholic Values Fixed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Catholic Values generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Catholic Values Fixed generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund holds about 94.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Catholic Mutual Fund
Catholic Values financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catholic Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catholic with respect to the benefits of owning Catholic Values security.
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