Canadian General Investments Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.51

CGI Stock  CAD 41.00  0.40  0.99%   
Canadian General's future price is the expected price of Canadian General instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Canadian General Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Canadian General Backtesting, Canadian General Valuation, Canadian General Correlation, Canadian General Hype Analysis, Canadian General Volatility, Canadian General History as well as Canadian General Performance.
  
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Canadian General Target Price Odds to finish over 41.51

The tendency of Canadian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 41.51  or more in 90 days
 41.00 90 days 41.51 
about 7.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canadian General to move over C$ 41.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.43 (This Canadian General Investments probability density function shows the probability of Canadian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Canadian General Inv price to stay between its current price of C$ 41.00  and C$ 41.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Canadian General has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Canadian General average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Canadian General Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Canadian General Investments has an alpha of 0.115, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Canadian General Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Canadian General

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian General Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.8840.9742.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.1240.2141.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.1840.2741.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.9440.8141.68
Details

Canadian General Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canadian General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canadian General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canadian General Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canadian General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Canadian General Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canadian General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canadian General Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Canadian General Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canadian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canadian General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.2 M

Canadian General Technical Analysis

Canadian General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canadian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canadian General Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canadian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Canadian General Predictive Forecast Models

Canadian General's time-series forecasting models is one of many Canadian General's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canadian General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Canadian General Inv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Canadian General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Canadian General Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Canadian Stock

Canadian General financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canadian with respect to the benefits of owning Canadian General security.