CATLIN GROUP (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.30
| CGL Stock | 95.00 0.00 0.00% |
CATLIN |
CATLIN GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 97.30
The tendency of CATLIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 97.30 or more in 90 days |
| 95.00 | 90 days | 97.30 | about 57.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CATLIN GROUP to move over 97.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.31 (This CATLIN GROUP probability density function shows the probability of CATLIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CATLIN GROUP price to stay between its current price of 95.00 and 97.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CATLIN GROUP has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CATLIN GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CATLIN GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CATLIN GROUP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CATLIN GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CATLIN GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CATLIN GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CATLIN GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CATLIN GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CATLIN GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CATLIN GROUP , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CATLIN GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
CATLIN GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CATLIN GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CATLIN GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CATLIN GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 457.2 K. | |
| CATLIN GROUP generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Isabella Banks chief credit officer Catlin purchases shares worth 499 - Investing.com |
CATLIN GROUP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CATLIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CATLIN GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CATLIN GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 274.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 131 K |
CATLIN GROUP Technical Analysis
CATLIN GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CATLIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CATLIN GROUP . In general, you should focus on analyzing CATLIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CATLIN GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
CATLIN GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many CATLIN GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CATLIN GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CATLIN GROUP
Checking the ongoing alerts about CATLIN GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CATLIN GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CATLIN GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 457.2 K. | |
| CATLIN GROUP generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Isabella Banks chief credit officer Catlin purchases shares worth 499 - Investing.com |
Other Information on Investing in CATLIN Stock
CATLIN GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether CATLIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CATLIN with respect to the benefits of owning CATLIN GROUP security.