CH Robinson (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 94.15

CH1A Stock  EUR 98.50  0.50  0.51%   
CH Robinson's future price is the expected price of CH Robinson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CH Robinson Worldwide performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CH Robinson Backtesting, CH Robinson Valuation, CH Robinson Correlation, CH Robinson Hype Analysis, CH Robinson Volatility, CH Robinson History as well as CH Robinson Performance.
  
Please specify CH Robinson's target price for which you would like CH Robinson odds to be computed.

CH Robinson Target Price Odds to finish over 94.15

The tendency of CH1A Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 94.15  in 90 days
 98.50 90 days 94.15 
about 74.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CH Robinson to stay above € 94.15  in 90 days from now is about 74.73 (This CH Robinson Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of CH1A Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CH Robinson Worldwide price to stay between € 94.15  and its current price of €98.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CH Robinson has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CH Robinson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CH Robinson Worldwide will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CH Robinson Worldwide has an alpha of 0.059, implying that it can generate a 0.059 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CH Robinson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CH Robinson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CH Robinson Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.9698.50100.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.2197.7599.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
92.6194.1595.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.2899.60101.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CH Robinson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CH Robinson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CH Robinson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CH Robinson Worldwide.

CH Robinson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CH Robinson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CH Robinson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CH Robinson Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CH Robinson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
4.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

CH Robinson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CH Robinson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CH Robinson Worldwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CH Robinson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

CH Robinson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CH1A Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CH Robinson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CH Robinson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding116.3 M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

CH Robinson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CH1A Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CH Robinson Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing CH1A Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CH Robinson Predictive Forecast Models

CH Robinson's time-series forecasting models is one of many CH Robinson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CH Robinson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CH Robinson Worldwide

Checking the ongoing alerts about CH Robinson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CH Robinson Worldwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CH Robinson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CH1A Stock

When determining whether CH Robinson Worldwide is a strong investment it is important to analyze CH Robinson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CH Robinson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CH1A Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CH Robinson Backtesting, CH Robinson Valuation, CH Robinson Correlation, CH Robinson Hype Analysis, CH Robinson Volatility, CH Robinson History as well as CH Robinson Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CH Robinson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CH Robinson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CH Robinson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.