CK Infrastructure (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.66

CHH Stock  EUR 6.28  0.03  0.48%   
CK Infrastructure's future price is the expected price of CK Infrastructure instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CK Infrastructure Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CK Infrastructure Backtesting, CK Infrastructure Valuation, CK Infrastructure Correlation, CK Infrastructure Hype Analysis, CK Infrastructure Volatility, CK Infrastructure History as well as CK Infrastructure Performance.
  
Please specify CK Infrastructure's target price for which you would like CK Infrastructure odds to be computed.

CK Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish below 2.66

The tendency of CHH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 2.66  or more in 90 days
 6.28 90 days 2.66 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CK Infrastructure to drop to € 2.66  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CK Infrastructure Holdings probability density function shows the probability of CHH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CK Infrastructure price to stay between € 2.66  and its current price of €6.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CK Infrastructure has a beta of 0.0456 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CK Infrastructure average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CK Infrastructure Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CK Infrastructure Holdings has an alpha of 0.2255, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CK Infrastructure Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CK Infrastructure

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CK Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.576.319.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.105.848.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.516.259.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.196.296.38
Details

CK Infrastructure Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CK Infrastructure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CK Infrastructure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CK Infrastructure Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CK Infrastructure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

CK Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CK Infrastructure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CK Infrastructure can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CK Infrastructure Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CK Infrastructure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CK Infrastructure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B

CK Infrastructure Technical Analysis

CK Infrastructure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CK Infrastructure Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CK Infrastructure Predictive Forecast Models

CK Infrastructure's time-series forecasting models is one of many CK Infrastructure's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CK Infrastructure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CK Infrastructure

Checking the ongoing alerts about CK Infrastructure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CK Infrastructure help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in CHH Stock

CK Infrastructure financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHH with respect to the benefits of owning CK Infrastructure security.