China Hongqiao Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.46
| CHHQF Stock | USD 1.66 0.00 0.00% |
China |
China Hongqiao Target Price Odds to finish over 1.46
The tendency of China Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.46 in 90 days |
| 1.66 | 90 days | 1.46 | about 7.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Hongqiao to stay above $ 1.46 in 90 days from now is about 7.79 (This China Hongqiao Group probability density function shows the probability of China Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Hongqiao Group price to stay between $ 1.46 and its current price of $1.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Hongqiao Group has a beta of -1.48 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding China Hongqiao Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, China Hongqiao is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover China Hongqiao Group has an alpha of 1.6704, implying that it can generate a 1.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Hongqiao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Hongqiao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Hongqiao Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Hongqiao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Hongqiao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Hongqiao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Hongqiao Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Hongqiao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
China Hongqiao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Hongqiao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Hongqiao Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Hongqiao Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| China Hongqiao Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| China Hongqiao Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
China Hongqiao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Hongqiao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Hongqiao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.1 B |
China Hongqiao Technical Analysis
China Hongqiao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Hongqiao Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Hongqiao Predictive Forecast Models
China Hongqiao's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Hongqiao's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Hongqiao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Hongqiao Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Hongqiao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Hongqiao Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Hongqiao Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| China Hongqiao Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| China Hongqiao Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet
China Hongqiao financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Hongqiao security.