Calamos Convertible Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 6.54

CHI Fund  USD 12.11  0.04  0.33%   
Calamos Convertible's future price is the expected price of Calamos Convertible instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calamos Convertible Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calamos Convertible Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Convertible Correlation, Calamos Convertible Hype Analysis, Calamos Convertible Volatility, Calamos Convertible History as well as Calamos Convertible Performance.
  
Please specify Calamos Convertible's target price for which you would like Calamos Convertible odds to be computed.

Calamos Convertible Target Price Odds to finish below 6.54

The tendency of Calamos Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 6.54  or more in 90 days
 12.11 90 days 6.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Convertible to drop to $ 6.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calamos Convertible Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Convertible price to stay between $ 6.54  and its current price of $12.11 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Calamos Convertible has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calamos Convertible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calamos Convertible Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calamos Convertible Opportunities has an alpha of 0.0575, implying that it can generate a 0.0575 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calamos Convertible Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calamos Convertible

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Convertible. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2212.1213.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0911.9912.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9511.8512.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2911.8112.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Calamos Convertible. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Calamos Convertible's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Calamos Convertible's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Calamos Convertible.

Calamos Convertible Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Convertible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Convertible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Convertible Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Convertible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.004

Calamos Convertible Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Convertible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Convertible can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Calamos Convertible Technical Analysis

Calamos Convertible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Convertible Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calamos Convertible Predictive Forecast Models

Calamos Convertible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Convertible's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Convertible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calamos Convertible

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Convertible for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Convertible help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Calamos Fund

Calamos Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calamos Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calamos with respect to the benefits of owning Calamos Convertible security.
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