Chs Inc Cm Preferred Stock Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 22.12
| CHSCM Preferred Stock | USD 25.13 0.04 0.16% |
CHS |
CHS Target Price Odds to finish over 22.12
The tendency of CHS Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 22.12 in 90 days |
| 25.13 | 90 days | 22.12 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHS to stay above $ 22.12 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CHS Inc CM probability density function shows the probability of CHS Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHS Inc CM price to stay between $ 22.12 and its current price of $25.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CHS has a beta of 0.0995 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CHS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHS Inc CM will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHS Inc CM has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CHS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CHS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHS Inc CM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CHS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CHS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHS Inc CM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
CHS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHS Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CHS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 168.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 794 M |
CHS Technical Analysis
CHS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHS Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHS Inc CM. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHS Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHS Predictive Forecast Models
CHS's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHS's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CHS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CHS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CHS options trading.
Other Information on Investing in CHS Preferred Stock
CHS financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHS Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHS with respect to the benefits of owning CHS security.