Charter Communications Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 303.65
| CHTR Stock | USD 388.27 4.43 1.15% |
Charter |
Charter Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 303.65
The tendency of Charter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 303.65 or more in 90 days |
| 388.27 | 90 days | 303.65 | about 5.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Charter Communications to drop to $ 303.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.31 (This Charter Communications probability density function shows the probability of Charter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Charter Communications price to stay between $ 303.65 and its current price of $388.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Charter Communications will likely underperform. Additionally Charter Communications has an alpha of 0.0764, implying that it can generate a 0.0764 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Charter Communications Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Charter Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Charter Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Charter Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Charter Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Charter Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Charter Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Charter Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Charter Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Charter Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Charter Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Charter Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Charter Communications currently holds 97.78 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.88, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Charter Communications has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Charter Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 72.0% of Charter Communications shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Steven Romicks FPA Crescent Fund 3rd Quarter Letter A Recap |
Charter Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Charter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Charter Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Charter Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 709 M |
Charter Communications Technical Analysis
Charter Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Charter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Charter Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Charter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Charter Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Charter Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Charter Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Charter Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Charter Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Charter Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Charter Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Charter Communications currently holds 97.78 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.88, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Charter Communications has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Charter Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 72.0% of Charter Communications shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Steven Romicks FPA Crescent Fund 3rd Quarter Letter A Recap |
Additional Tools for Charter Stock Analysis
When running Charter Communications' price analysis, check to measure Charter Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Charter Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Charter Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Charter Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Charter Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Charter Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.