Champion Iron Limited Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 8.61

CIAFF Stock  USD 3.60  0.17  4.51%   
Champion Iron's future price is the expected price of Champion Iron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Champion Iron Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Champion Iron Backtesting, Champion Iron Valuation, Champion Iron Correlation, Champion Iron Hype Analysis, Champion Iron Volatility, Champion Iron History as well as Champion Iron Performance.
  
Please specify Champion Iron's target price for which you would like Champion Iron odds to be computed.

Champion Iron Target Price Odds to finish over 8.61

The tendency of Champion OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 8.61  or more in 90 days
 3.60 90 days 8.61 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Champion Iron to move over $ 8.61  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Champion Iron Limited probability density function shows the probability of Champion OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Champion Iron Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 3.60  and $ 8.61  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Champion Iron has a beta of 0.076 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Champion Iron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Champion Iron Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Champion Iron Limited has an alpha of 0.0753, implying that it can generate a 0.0753 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Champion Iron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Champion Iron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Champion Iron Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.608.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.237.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.247.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.483.633.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Champion Iron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Champion Iron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Champion Iron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Champion Iron Limited.

Champion Iron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Champion Iron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Champion Iron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Champion Iron Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Champion Iron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.0089

Champion Iron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Champion Iron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Champion Iron Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Champion Iron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Champion Iron has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Champion Iron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Champion OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Champion Iron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Champion Iron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding516.6 M

Champion Iron Technical Analysis

Champion Iron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Champion OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Champion Iron Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Champion OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Champion Iron Predictive Forecast Models

Champion Iron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Champion Iron's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Champion Iron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Champion Iron Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Champion Iron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Champion Iron Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Champion Iron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Champion Iron has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Champion OTC Stock

Champion Iron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Champion OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Champion with respect to the benefits of owning Champion Iron security.