Commercial International Bank Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 1.49
| CIBEY Stock | USD 1.52 0.01 0.65% |
Commercial |
Commercial International Target Price Odds to finish over 1.49
The tendency of Commercial OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.49 in 90 days |
| 1.52 | 90 days | 1.49 | about 88.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commercial International to stay above $ 1.49 in 90 days from now is about 88.9 (This Commercial International Bank probability density function shows the probability of Commercial OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Commercial International price to stay between $ 1.49 and its current price of $1.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commercial International Bank has a beta of -0.32 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Commercial International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Commercial International Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Commercial International Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Commercial International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commercial International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commercial International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commercial International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commercial International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commercial International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commercial International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commercial International Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commercial International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Commercial International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commercial International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commercial International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Commercial International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commercial International may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Commercial International Bank has accumulated about 1.64 B in cash with (34.61 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.41. |
Commercial International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commercial OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commercial International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commercial International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
Commercial International Technical Analysis
Commercial International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Commercial OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Commercial International Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Commercial OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Commercial International Predictive Forecast Models
Commercial International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Commercial International's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Commercial International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Commercial International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Commercial International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Commercial International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Commercial International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commercial International may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Commercial International Bank has accumulated about 1.64 B in cash with (34.61 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.41. |
Additional Tools for Commercial OTC Stock Analysis
When running Commercial International's price analysis, check to measure Commercial International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commercial International is operating at the current time. Most of Commercial International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commercial International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commercial International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commercial International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.