Cibus Nordic (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 172.21
| CIBUS Stock | SEK 175.40 2.00 1.15% |
Cibus |
Cibus Nordic Target Price Odds to finish below 172.21
The tendency of Cibus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 172.21 or more in 90 days |
| 175.40 | 90 days | 172.21 | about 40.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cibus Nordic to drop to kr 172.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.18 (This Cibus Nordic Real probability density function shows the probability of Cibus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cibus Nordic Real price to stay between kr 172.21 and its current price of kr175.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cibus Nordic has a beta of 0.41 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cibus Nordic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cibus Nordic Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cibus Nordic Real has an alpha of 0.0406, implying that it can generate a 0.0406 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cibus Nordic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cibus Nordic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cibus Nordic Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cibus Nordic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cibus Nordic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cibus Nordic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cibus Nordic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cibus Nordic Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cibus Nordic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Cibus Nordic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cibus Nordic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cibus Nordic Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cibus Nordic Real has accumulated 911.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cibus Nordic Real has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cibus Nordic until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cibus Nordic's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cibus Nordic Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cibus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cibus Nordic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 18.0% of Cibus Nordic shares are held by company insiders |
Cibus Nordic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cibus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cibus Nordic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cibus Nordic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.1 M |
Cibus Nordic Technical Analysis
Cibus Nordic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cibus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cibus Nordic Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cibus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cibus Nordic Predictive Forecast Models
Cibus Nordic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cibus Nordic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cibus Nordic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cibus Nordic Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cibus Nordic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cibus Nordic Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cibus Nordic Real has accumulated 911.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cibus Nordic Real has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cibus Nordic until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cibus Nordic's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cibus Nordic Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cibus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cibus Nordic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 18.0% of Cibus Nordic shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Cibus Stock Analysis
When running Cibus Nordic's price analysis, check to measure Cibus Nordic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cibus Nordic is operating at the current time. Most of Cibus Nordic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cibus Nordic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cibus Nordic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cibus Nordic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.