Capital Group Global Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 59.48
| CIF823 Fund | 60.93 0.29 0.47% |
Capital |
Capital Group Target Price Odds to finish below 59.48
The tendency of Capital Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 59.48 or more in 90 days |
| 60.93 | 90 days | 59.48 | about 64.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Group to drop to 59.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.77 (This Capital Group Global probability density function shows the probability of Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Group Global price to stay between 59.48 and its current price of 60.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Group has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Group Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Group Global has an alpha of 0.031, implying that it can generate a 0.031 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Group Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital Group Global.Capital Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Group Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Capital Group Technical Analysis
Capital Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Group Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Group Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Group's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capital Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capital Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capital Group options trading.
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