CI Group (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0501

CIG Stock  THB 0.05  0.01  25.00%   
CI Group's future price is the expected price of CI Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CI Group Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CI Group Backtesting, CI Group Valuation, CI Group Correlation, CI Group Hype Analysis, CI Group Volatility, CI Group History as well as CI Group Performance.
  
Please specify CI Group's target price for which you would like CI Group odds to be computed.

CI Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0501

The tendency of CIG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.05  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.05 
about 31.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CI Group to move over  0.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 31.56 (This CI Group Public probability density function shows the probability of CIG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CI Group Public price to stay between its current price of  0.05  and  0.05  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CI Group Public has a beta of -1.47 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding CI Group Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, CI Group is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover CI Group Public has an alpha of 1.7932, implying that it can generate a 1.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CI Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CI Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI Group Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0552.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0452.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.05127.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.050.06
Details

CI Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CI Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CI Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CI Group Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CI Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

CI Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CI Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CI Group Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CI Group Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
CI Group Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CI Group Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (141.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.01 M.
CI Group Public has accumulated about 9.49 M in cash with (36.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CI Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CIG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CI Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CI Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding864.8 M

CI Group Technical Analysis

CI Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CI Group Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CI Group Predictive Forecast Models

CI Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many CI Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CI Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CI Group Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about CI Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CI Group Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CI Group Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
CI Group Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CI Group Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (141.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.01 M.
CI Group Public has accumulated about 9.49 M in cash with (36.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in CIG Stock

CI Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether CIG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CIG with respect to the benefits of owning CI Group security.