Cullen International High Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.33
| CIHDX Fund | USD 10.99 0.02 0.18% |
Cullen |
Cullen International Target Price Odds to finish below 10.33
The tendency of Cullen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.33 or more in 90 days |
| 10.99 | 90 days | 10.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cullen International to drop to $ 10.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cullen International High probability density function shows the probability of Cullen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cullen International High price to stay between $ 10.33 and its current price of $10.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cullen International has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cullen International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cullen International High will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cullen International High has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cullen International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cullen International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cullen International High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cullen International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cullen International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cullen International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cullen International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cullen International High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cullen International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Cullen International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cullen International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cullen International High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cullen International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 8.26% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Cullen International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cullen Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cullen International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cullen International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Cullen International Technical Analysis
Cullen International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cullen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cullen International High. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cullen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cullen International Predictive Forecast Models
Cullen International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cullen International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cullen International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cullen International High
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cullen International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cullen International High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cullen International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 8.26% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Cullen Mutual Fund
Cullen International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cullen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cullen with respect to the benefits of owning Cullen International security.
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk |