Chimera Investment Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 24.23

CIM-PC Preferred Stock  USD 24.04  0.16  0.66%   
Chimera Investment's future price is the expected price of Chimera Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chimera Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chimera Investment Backtesting, Chimera Investment Valuation, Chimera Investment Correlation, Chimera Investment Hype Analysis, Chimera Investment Volatility, Chimera Investment History as well as Chimera Investment Performance.
For information on how to trade Chimera Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Chimera Preferred Stock guide.
  
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Chimera Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 24.23

The tendency of Chimera Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 24.23  or more in 90 days
 24.04 90 days 24.23 
roughly 2.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chimera Investment to move over $ 24.23  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.98 (This Chimera Investment probability density function shows the probability of Chimera Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chimera Investment price to stay between its current price of $ 24.04  and $ 24.23  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chimera Investment has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chimera Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chimera Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chimera Investment has an alpha of 0.0898, implying that it can generate a 0.0898 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Chimera Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chimera Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chimera Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3624.0424.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9423.6224.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.5524.2324.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9424.0924.24
Details

Chimera Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chimera Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chimera Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chimera Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chimera Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Chimera Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chimera Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chimera Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chimera Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments385.7 M

Chimera Investment Technical Analysis

Chimera Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chimera Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chimera Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chimera Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chimera Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Chimera Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chimera Investment's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chimera Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Chimera Investment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Chimera Investment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Chimera Investment options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Chimera Preferred Stock

Chimera Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chimera Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chimera with respect to the benefits of owning Chimera Investment security.