CIM FINANCIAL (Mauritius) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.88
| CIM Stock | 12.50 0.20 1.57% |
CIM |
CIM FINANCIAL Target Price Odds to finish over 13.88
The tendency of CIM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 13.88 or more in 90 days |
| 12.50 | 90 days | 13.88 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CIM FINANCIAL to move over 13.88 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES probability density function shows the probability of CIM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES price to stay between its current price of 12.50 and 13.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES has a beta of -0.0305 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CIM FINANCIAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES has an alpha of 0.2504, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CIM FINANCIAL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CIM FINANCIAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CIM FINANCIAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CIM FINANCIAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CIM FINANCIAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CIM FINANCIAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CIM FINANCIAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
CIM FINANCIAL Technical Analysis
CIM FINANCIAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CIM FINANCIAL SERVICES. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CIM FINANCIAL Predictive Forecast Models
CIM FINANCIAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many CIM FINANCIAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CIM FINANCIAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CIM FINANCIAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CIM FINANCIAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CIM FINANCIAL options trading.