Chimera Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.16
| CIM Stock | USD 14.84 0.15 1.00% |
Chimera |
Chimera Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 15.16
The tendency of Chimera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.16 or more in 90 days |
| 14.84 | 90 days | 15.16 | about 61.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chimera Investment to move over $ 15.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.88 (This Chimera Investment probability density function shows the probability of Chimera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chimera Investment price to stay between its current price of $ 14.84 and $ 15.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.35 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chimera Investment has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chimera Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chimera Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chimera Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chimera Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chimera Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chimera Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chimera Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chimera Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chimera Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chimera Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chimera Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Chimera Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chimera Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chimera Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chimera Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chimera Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Chimera Investment paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advisors Asset Management Inc. Has 8.49 Million Stock Position in Chimera Investment Co. |
Chimera Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chimera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chimera Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chimera Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.7 M |
Chimera Investment Technical Analysis
Chimera Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chimera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chimera Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chimera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chimera Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Chimera Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chimera Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chimera Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chimera Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chimera Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chimera Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chimera Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chimera Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Chimera Investment paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advisors Asset Management Inc. Has 8.49 Million Stock Position in Chimera Investment Co. |
Check out Chimera Investment Backtesting, Chimera Investment Valuation, Chimera Investment Correlation, Chimera Investment Hype Analysis, Chimera Investment Volatility, Chimera Investment History as well as Chimera Investment Performance. To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chimera Investment. If investors know Chimera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chimera Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.8 | Dividend Share 1.38 | Earnings Share 3.33 | Revenue Per Share 5.548 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 5.903 |
The market value of Chimera Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chimera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chimera Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chimera Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chimera Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chimera Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chimera Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chimera Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chimera Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.